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Red64
566021.1
52255.3
233727.4
Blue36
341429.0
83644.0
945.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483401020304060706436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.41.9
17.319.2
Auto13.0
Teleop11.1
End3.3
blue by 1.5
29.00.4
20.520.2
Auto7.3
Teleop16.1
End5.6
Second
21.11.1
18.019.1
Auto8.5
Teleop6.9
End5.7
red by 15.3
94
#25
5.80.6
7.87.2
Auto1.4
Teleop1.8
End2.5
Third
5225
#28
5.31.9
7.89.7
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End2.1
red by 1.4
8364
#35
4.00.6
5.34.6
Auto0.1
Teleop0.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsEarned20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsEarned11%Hangar oddsMissed