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Red50
546711.0
722012.3
615213.2
Blue56
719112.5
233727.4
570815.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225404060805056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6152
#16
13.21.5
10.311.8
Auto4.6
Teleop4.6
End4.0
blue by 14.3
27.41.0
20.621.6
Auto13.0
Teleop11.1
End3.3
Second
7220
#15
12.31.5
7.18.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End2.1
blue by 2.8
15.11.0
11.812.9
Auto3.2
Teleop2.2
End9.7
Third
5467
#13
11.00.9
7.58.3
Auto1.6
Teleop3.3
End6.1
blue by 1.5
7191
#19
12.50.6
14.214.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.2
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned26%Hangar oddsEarned