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Red68
566021.1
283227.8
204813.1
Blue18
24712.8
61017.1
83644.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51240204060806818

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.82.1
16.018.2
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End6.7
red by 15.0
247
#11
12.81.4
13.111.8
Auto5.4
Teleop3.8
End3.7
Second
21.11.3
19.020.3
Auto8.5
Teleop6.9
End5.7
red by 14.0
6101
#17
7.11.4
8.97.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.4
End2.0
Third
13.11.3
9.710.9
Auto4.7
Teleop4.1
End4.3
red by 9.1
8364
#35
4.01.4
4.22.8
Auto0.1
Teleop0.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsEarned10%Hangar oddsMissed