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Red38
811517.6
118817.6
54811.5
Blue62
364119.4
509019.9
569515.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41501020306070803862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1188
#12
17.60.1
11.511.4
Auto8.0
Teleop8.9
End0.7
blue by 2.3
19.91.1
17.318.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End5.2
Second
17.60.1
15.615.4
Auto3.8
Teleop12.0
End1.9
blue by 1.8
3641
#10
19.41.8
17.519.3
Auto6.8
Teleop7.4
End5.2
Third
548
#36
11.50.1
12.212.1
Auto4.7
Teleop2.9
End3.9
blue by 4.4
5695
#14
15.91.8
10.912.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed