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Red24
52176.9
204813.1
719112.5
Blue35
566021.1
48544.9
24712.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343810203050602435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.10.6
10.710.1
Auto4.7
Teleop4.1
End4.3
blue by 8.0
21.10.0
19.018.9
Auto8.5
Teleop6.9
End5.7
Second
7191
#19
12.50.6
15.314.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.2
End4.4
blue by 0.3
247
#11
12.80.0
12.112.1
Auto5.4
Teleop3.8
End3.7
Third
5217
#20
6.90.6
6.35.8
Auto2.7
Teleop3.9
End0.3
red by 1.9
4854
#26
4.90.0
4.34.3
Auto1.6
Teleop1.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsEarned