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Red33
509019.9
60578.5
84275.3
Blue30
61905.9
546711.0
118817.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352701020405060703330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.5
18.618.1
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End5.2
red by 2.3
1188
#12
17.60.4
11.311.7
Auto8.0
Teleop8.9
End0.7
Second
6057
#30
8.50.8
7.06.2
Auto3.5
Teleop1.0
End4.0
blue by 2.6
5467
#13
11.00.2
9.39.5
Auto1.6
Teleop3.3
End6.1
Third
8427
#23
5.30.7
6.35.6
Auto3.0
Teleop0.8
End1.5
blue by 0.6
6190
#34
5.90.4
5.96.3
Auto1.5
Teleop1.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsMissed34%Hangar oddsMissed