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Red53
49437.7
118930.1
366718.0
Blue49
54822.9
285119.8
811521.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102642040801201401605349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#3
37.70.8
39.438.5
Auto11.1
Teleop15.2
End11.4
red by 14.7
548
#19
22.90.4
23.222.9
Auto8.3
Teleop5.5
End9.1
Second
30.10.8
31.830.9
Auto9.1
Teleop15.3
End5.7
red by 8.8
8115
#21
21.30.4
21.521.2
Auto5.3
Teleop13.2
End2.8
Third
3667
#22
18.00.8
19.718.9
Auto6.7
Teleop7.1
End4.2
blue by 1.8
2851
#13
19.80.4
20.119.7
Auto5.1
Teleop7.6
End7.1