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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50962040608012014072104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#14
30.61.3
29.430.6
Auto7.7
Teleop15.5
End7.4
blue by 7.1
494
#3
37.71.3
38.139.4
Auto11.1
Teleop15.2
End11.4
Second
6099
#16
13.71.3
12.513.7
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End2.8
blue by 21.9
35.61.3
35.536.8
Auto9.2
Teleop20.2
End6.2
Third
453
#37
12.41.3
11.112.4
Auto3.6
Teleop5.4
End3.3
red by 0.5
7791
#35
11.91.3
10.611.9
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
61%Cargo oddsEarned63%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsMissed81%Hangar oddsEarned