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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384402060801005734

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#19
22.91.4
21.823.2
Auto8.3
Teleop5.5
End9.1
red by 1.0
5926
#11
21.90.4
22.321.9
Auto7.9
Teleop7.9
End6.1
Second
5225
#33
10.01.4
8.710.0
Auto2.6
Teleop5.5
End1.8
red by 0.6
6089
#29
9.50.5
9.99.5
Auto2.2
Teleop6.4
End0.9
Third
8826
#40
7.21.4
5.97.2
Auto2.8
Teleop1.6
End2.8
blue by 0.3
4961
#23
7.50.4
8.07.5
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed37%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsEarned10%Hangar oddsMissed