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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28390206080633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8280
#30
8.51.6
10.18.5
Auto5.1
Teleop3.1
End0.4
blue by 9.2
4779
#27
17.70.4
19.018.6
Auto6.1
Teleop7.1
End4.5
Second
7762
#41
7.41.4
8.87.4
Auto1.9
Teleop3.8
End1.7
blue by 1.0
5555
#32
8.40.5
8.98.4
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End1.2
Third
7247
#38
7.21.4
8.67.2
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End1.9
red by 0.3
5214
#39
6.80.5
7.36.8
Auto2.0
Teleop1.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
5%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed