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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65562040801006368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#10
37.10.0
37.437.3
Auto11.8
Teleop14.2
End11.2
red by 1.5
35.61.0
27.528.4
Auto9.2
Teleop20.2
End6.2
Second
5860
#18
16.70.0
10.410.4
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End3.5
blue by 7.3
5843
#15
24.01.0
16.317.3
Auto4.1
Teleop6.1
End13.7
Third
2604
#26
14.50.0
11.911.9
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End5.1
red by 6.1
5555
#32
8.41.6
9.811.4
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
65%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed67%Hangar oddsEarned