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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271030501504236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.70.4
22.923.4
Auto7.2
Teleop14.6
End9.8
blue by 6.0
494
#3
37.73.4
33.630.2
Auto11.1
Teleop15.2
End11.4
Second
4961
#23
7.50.4
3.74.2
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End0.2
blue by 30.0
37.53.4
28.825.4
Auto9.3
Teleop20.0
End8.2
Third
7762
#41
7.40.4
8.79.2
Auto1.9
Teleop3.8
End1.7
blue by 23.2
862
#14
30.63.4
24.421.0
Auto7.7
Teleop15.5
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsMissed84%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed92%Hangar oddsMissed