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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49280204060801001203346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.10.7
23.222.5
Auto9.1
Teleop15.3
End5.7
red by 8.2
5926
#11
21.90.8
12.813.7
Auto7.9
Teleop7.9
End6.1
Second
4810
#34
16.40.8
13.212.4
Auto6.6
Teleop6.9
End2.9
blue by 1.4
4680
#20
17.80.9
8.59.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End4.2
Third
5214
#39
6.81.2
7.16.0
Auto2.0
Teleop1.1
End3.7
blue by 4.3
7188
#28
11.21.4
8.09.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsMissed