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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions492304060801001205123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#9
24.30.6
16.116.7
Auto9.3
Teleop5.4
End9.5
red by 10.5
6099
#16
13.70.4
10.29.8
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End2.8
Second
8115
#21
21.30.6
17.618.2
Auto5.3
Teleop13.2
End2.8
red by 14.0
8826
#40
7.20.4
5.95.5
Auto2.8
Teleop1.6
End2.8
Third
7692
#17
11.40.6
8.89.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.7
End3.4
red by 4.2
7247
#38
7.20.4
8.48.0
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsEarned9%Hangar oddsMissed