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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533102040801001201401603651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.71.3
33.332.0
Auto11.6
Teleop16.5
End10.7
red by 15.0
23.71.3
14.015.3
Auto7.7
Teleop9.0
End7.1
Second
6089
#29
9.52.1
9.16.9
Auto2.2
Teleop6.4
End0.9
blue by 10.4
2851
#13
19.81.3
12.714.0
Auto5.1
Teleop7.6
End7.1
Third
8280
#30
8.52.1
4.92.8
Auto5.1
Teleop3.1
End0.4
red by 1.8
7597
#31
6.71.4
5.06.4
Auto2.0
Teleop5.2
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
53%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsMissed4%Hangar oddsMissed