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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394501001503230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#12
28.90.3
27.827.5
Auto9.7
Teleop13.4
End5.7
red by 11.2
4779
#27
17.71.1
16.615.5
Auto6.1
Teleop7.1
End4.5
Second
5225
#33DQ
10.00.3
5.35.0
Auto2.6
Teleop5.5
End1.8
blue by 1.9
7791
#35
11.91.1
11.510.5
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End3.1
Third
8364
#25
9.70.3
4.03.6
Auto2.1
Teleop4.3
End3.3
blue by 2.1
217
#36
11.81.1
13.712.6
Auto3.4
Teleop7.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsMissed