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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5043102030607080907736

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#8
28.42.3
23.926.2
Auto8.6
Teleop13.6
End6.3
red by 10.4
3667
#22
18.00.4
18.217.8
Auto6.7
Teleop7.1
End4.2
Second
548
#19
22.92.1
11.513.6
Auto8.3
Teleop5.5
End9.1
red by 6.3
5860
#18
16.70.4
10.410.0
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End3.5
Third
5048
#24
9.03.4
10.514.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End-1.1
blue by 3.4
453
#37
12.40.4
12.812.4
Auto3.6
Teleop5.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsEarned25%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsEarned26%Hangar oddsMissed