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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3610402060801201401605090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#14
30.60.5
24.825.2
Auto7.7
Teleop15.5
End7.4
blue by 8.2
38.70.5
35.134.7
Auto11.6
Teleop16.5
End10.7
Second
7791
#35
11.90.5
11.111.6
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End3.1
blue by 25.2
70
#10
37.10.5
36.135.6
Auto11.8
Teleop14.2
End11.2
Third
4961
#23
7.50.5
6.97.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End0.2
blue by 12.3
2851
#13
19.80.5
17.817.4
Auto5.1
Teleop7.6
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsMissed96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed64%Hangar oddsEarned