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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7424040601001201408724

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.51.3
30.431.7
Auto9.3
Teleop20.0
End8.2
red by 20.9
5860
#18
16.70.6
12.612.0
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End3.5
Second
30.11.3
26.327.6
Auto9.1
Teleop15.3
End5.7
red by 21.5
8280
#30
8.51.0
11.610.6
Auto5.1
Teleop3.1
End0.4
Third
7188
#28
11.22.2
6.58.7
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End4.4
red by 4.3
5214
#39
6.81.0
4.93.9
Auto2.0
Teleop1.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
59%Cargo oddsEarned22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed