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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3663020801001203752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3667
#22
18.00.0
18.918.9
Auto6.7
Teleop7.1
End4.2
blue by 13.7
31.70.2
24.224.0
Auto7.2
Teleop14.6
End9.8
Second
6099
#16
13.70.0
11.511.5
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End2.8
blue by 8.2
5926
#11
21.90.2
18.718.5
Auto7.9
Teleop7.9
End6.1
Third
7597
#31
6.70.0
6.86.8
Auto2.0
Teleop5.2
End-0.5
blue by 7.8
2604
#26
14.50.2
12.512.3
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
60%Cargo oddsEarned77%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed57%Hangar oddsMissed