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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5938020801001207057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.61.1
36.037.2
Auto9.2
Teleop20.2
End6.2
red by 15.8
2851
#13
19.81.2
17.418.6
Auto5.1
Teleop7.6
End7.1
Second
5048
#24
9.01.9
9.311.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End-1.1
blue by 7.4
4810
#34
16.41.2
13.815.0
Auto6.6
Teleop6.9
End2.9
Third
7247
#38
7.21.1
7.78.8
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End1.9
blue by 2.9
5225
#33
10.01.2
7.48.7
Auto2.6
Teleop5.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
45%Cargo oddsEarned20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed