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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475702040801005059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5843
#15
24.00.0
20.820.8
Auto4.1
Teleop6.1
End13.7
blue by 14.8
38.70.5
34.735.1
Auto11.6
Teleop16.5
End10.7
Second
4680
#20
17.80.0
13.513.5
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End4.2
red by 6.4
7692
#17
11.40.5
9.810.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.7
End3.4
Third
453
#37
12.40.0
11.211.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.4
End3.3
red by 4.8
4961
#23
7.50.5
7.47.9
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsEarned64%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsMissed33%Hangar oddsEarned