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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6338020801001207240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#14
30.61.1
25.226.3
Auto7.7
Teleop15.5
End7.4
red by 6.3
469
#9
24.30.1
19.819.8
Auto9.3
Teleop5.4
End9.5
Second
548
#19
22.91.1
18.419.5
Auto8.3
Teleop5.5
End9.1
red by 8.4
2604
#26
14.50.1
12.312.3
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End5.1
Third
5860
#18
16.71.1
12.013.1
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End3.5
red by 9.9
7597
#31
6.70.1
6.86.9
Auto2.0
Teleop5.2
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsEarned30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsEarned16%Hangar oddsEarned