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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31710204060801001204381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8115
#21
21.30.6
19.520.1
Auto5.3
Teleop13.2
End2.8
blue by 8.8
30.11.0
27.628.6
Auto9.1
Teleop15.3
End5.7
Second
8364
#25
9.70.6
10.711.3
Auto2.1
Teleop4.3
End3.3
blue by 18.7
818
#8
28.41.0
28.129.1
Auto8.6
Teleop13.6
End6.3
Third
5214
#39
6.81.0
3.94.9
Auto2.0
Teleop1.1
End3.7
blue by 0.4
8826
#40
7.21.0
6.17.1
Auto2.8
Teleop1.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsMissed55%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed35%Hangar oddsEarned