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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51490204060801001201401604248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#12
28.90.4
25.825.4
Auto9.7
Teleop13.4
End5.7
red by 7.0
5926
#11
21.90.1
18.518.6
Auto7.9
Teleop7.9
End6.1
Second
7791
#35
11.90.4
11.611.2
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End3.1
blue by 6.1
3667
#22
18.00.1
18.919.0
Auto6.7
Teleop7.1
End4.2
Third
8280
#30
8.50.7
10.69.9
Auto5.1
Teleop3.1
End0.4
red by 1.4
7247
#38
7.20.1
8.88.9
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsMissed54%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsMissed