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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5738020801007827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.71.8
24.025.7
Auto7.2
Teleop14.6
End9.8
red by 14.0
4779
#27
17.70.8
18.217.4
Auto6.1
Teleop7.1
End4.5
Second
23.71.8
17.419.2
Auto7.7
Teleop9.0
End7.1
red by 10.0
6099
#16
13.70.8
11.510.8
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End2.8
Third
5555
#32
8.43.0
9.812.8
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End1.2
blue by 2.8
7188
#28
11.21.3
8.77.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
46%Cargo oddsEarned38%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsEarned12%Hangar oddsMissed