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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54340204060804436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.70.3
34.734.4
Auto11.6
Teleop16.5
End10.7
red by 22.1
5860
#18
16.70.1
15.115.2
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End3.5
Second
7762
#41
7.40.3
8.88.5
Auto1.9
Teleop3.8
End1.7
blue by 4.5
7791
#35
11.90.1
11.211.3
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End3.1
Third
5214
#39
6.80.4
4.74.2
Auto2.0
Teleop1.1
End3.7
blue by 3.2
5225
#33
10.00.1
8.28.3
Auto2.6
Teleop5.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
40%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed