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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603302040801005237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#8
28.40.1
29.129.1
Auto8.6
Teleop13.6
End6.3
red by 5.4
548
#19
22.90.2
19.419.5
Auto8.3
Teleop5.5
End9.1
Second
6099
#16
13.70.1
11.511.4
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End2.8
red by 6.6
7247
#38
7.20.2
8.99.1
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End1.9
Third
217
#36
11.80.1
12.412.3
Auto3.4
Teleop7.5
End1.0
red by 5.1
7597
#31
6.70.2
6.16.3
Auto2.0
Teleop5.2
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
71%Cargo oddsEarned15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed