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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1044715010750

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.50.9
33.834.6
Auto9.3
Teleop20.0
End8.2
red by 8.7
2832
#12
28.90.1
26.126.0
Auto9.7
Teleop13.4
End5.7
Second
35.60.9
36.437.3
Auto9.2
Teleop20.2
End6.2
red by 17.6
3667
#22
18.00.1
18.818.7
Auto6.7
Teleop7.1
End4.2
Third
23.70.9
19.920.8
Auto7.7
Teleop9.0
End7.1
red by 14.3
6089
#29
9.50.2
6.86.6
Auto2.2
Teleop6.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
89%Cargo oddsEarned73%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsEarned26%Hangar oddsMissed