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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions876120408010012014011454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#3
37.72.1
33.235.3
Auto11.1
Teleop15.2
End11.4
red by 13.7
5843
#15
24.00.4
21.521.1
Auto4.1
Teleop6.1
End13.7
Second
31.72.1
25.327.4
Auto7.2
Teleop14.6
End9.8
red by 10.4
8115
#21
21.30.4
20.920.4
Auto5.3
Teleop13.2
End2.8
Third
469
#9
24.32.1
19.821.9
Auto9.3
Teleop5.4
End9.5
red by 4.5
2851
#13
19.80.4
18.117.7
Auto5.1
Teleop7.6
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
86%Cargo oddsEarned35%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned39%Hangar oddsEarned