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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465802040801001204167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5926
#11
21.90.2
20.620.4
Auto7.9
Teleop7.9
End6.1
blue by 8.7
862
#14
30.61.0
26.127.1
Auto7.7
Teleop15.5
End7.4
Second
7692
#17
11.40.2
11.010.8
Auto3.3
Teleop4.7
End3.4
blue by 6.4
4680
#20
17.81.0
14.315.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End4.2
Third
5555
#32
8.40.3
12.712.3
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End1.2
blue by 6.1
2604
#26
14.51.0
12.213.2
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsEarned34%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsEarned