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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52562040801005351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#3
37.70.2
35.335.6
Auto11.1
Teleop15.2
End11.4
red by 13.4
469
#9
24.30.3
21.921.6
Auto9.3
Teleop5.4
End9.5
Second
7188
#28
11.20.3
7.78.0
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End4.4
blue by 6.9
3667
#22
18.00.3
18.718.4
Auto6.7
Teleop7.1
End4.2
Third
6089
#29
9.50.3
6.66.9
Auto2.2
Teleop6.4
End0.9
blue by 2.4
7791
#35
11.90.3
11.311.0
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
57%Cargo oddsMissed41%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed59%Hangar oddsEarned