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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2580040601001202484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#36
11.80.7
12.311.6
Auto3.4
Teleop7.5
End1.0
blue by 26.9
38.71.1
34.435.5
Auto11.6
Teleop16.5
End10.7
Second
5555
#32
8.41.0
12.311.3
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End1.2
blue by 22.2
862
#14
30.61.1
27.128.1
Auto7.7
Teleop15.5
End7.4
Third
8826
#40
7.20.7
5.95.2
Auto2.8
Teleop1.6
End2.8
red by 0.5
7597
#31
6.71.1
6.37.4
Auto2.0
Teleop5.2
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed76%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed61%Hangar oddsEarned