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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions793202040601001208851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#3
37.71.3
36.738.1
Auto11.1
Teleop15.2
End11.4
red by 14.0
23.70.1
22.522.5
Auto7.7
Teleop9.0
End7.1
Second
548
#19DQ
22.91.3
20.521.8
Auto8.3
Teleop5.5
End9.1
red by 15.7
8826
#40
7.20.1
5.95.9
Auto2.8
Teleop1.6
End2.8
Third
7692
#17
11.41.3
10.812.2
Auto3.3
Teleop4.7
End3.4
red by 4.6
5214
#39
6.80.1
7.47.3
Auto2.0
Teleop1.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
72%Hangar oddsEarned18%Hangar oddsMissed