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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413820305060702221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4810
#34
16.41.1
15.714.7
Auto6.6
Teleop6.9
End2.9
blue by 0.3
5860
#18
16.71.3
17.416.1
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End3.5
Second
7791
#35
11.91.1
11.710.6
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End3.1
red by 3.5
5555
#32
8.41.6
10.48.9
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End1.2
Third
5048
#24
9.01.3
10.79.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End-1.1
red by 2.3
7597
#31
6.71.3
8.57.2
Auto2.0
Teleop5.2
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed