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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41702060801001203665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5926
#11
21.90.4
22.822.3
Auto7.9
Teleop7.9
End6.1
blue by 8.7
862
#14
30.60.1
29.429.4
Auto7.7
Teleop15.5
End7.4
Second
5225
#33
10.00.4
9.18.7
Auto2.6
Teleop5.5
End1.8
blue by 14.2
469
#9
24.30.1
22.722.6
Auto9.3
Teleop5.4
End9.5
Third
8280
#30
8.50.5
10.710.1
Auto5.1
Teleop3.1
End0.4
blue by 1.2
8364
#25
9.70.1
10.010.0
Auto2.1
Teleop4.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
45%Cargo oddsMissed45%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed79%Hangar oddsMissed