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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625740507080901007356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.71.0
31.832.8
Auto7.2
Teleop14.6
End9.8
blue by 5.4
70
#10
37.10.1
37.537.7
Auto11.8
Teleop14.2
End11.2
Second
4680
#20
17.81.0
17.118.1
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End4.2
red by 10.2
4961
#23
7.50.1
7.88.0
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End0.2
Third
6089
#29
9.51.3
8.79.9
Auto2.2
Teleop6.4
End0.9
red by 2.3
7247
#38
7.20.1
8.58.6
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
63%Cargo oddsEarned57%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsEarned20%Hangar oddsMissed