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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50842040601001206196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5843
#15
24.00.7
23.324.0
Auto4.1
Teleop6.1
End13.7
blue by 14.8
38.71.5
37.038.5
Auto11.6
Teleop16.5
End10.7
Second
5860
#18
16.70.7
16.116.7
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End3.5
blue by 7.0
23.71.5
22.523.9
Auto7.7
Teleop9.0
End7.1
Third
6099
#16
13.70.7
11.812.5
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End2.8
blue by 2.7
4810
#34
16.41.5
14.716.1
Auto6.6
Teleop6.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsEarned68%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
57%Hangar oddsEarned64%Hangar oddsEarned