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Red51
159619.5
603315.7
516624.0
Blue1
519320.1
71099.1
60984.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51380102030607080511

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.4
19.119.4
Auto7.8
Teleop8.1
End8.1
red by 3.9
20.12.7
18.315.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.6
End10.2
Second
1596
#11
19.50.3
17.017.3
Auto6.0
Teleop8.8
End4.7
red by 10.4
7109
#32
9.14.0
8.74.7
Auto2.8
Teleop2.3
End4.0
Third
15.70.6
9.810.4
Auto3.3
Teleop2.6
End9.8
red by 11.4
6098
#33
4.34.0
10.26.2
Auto1.3
Teleop2.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsEarned19%Hangar oddsMissed