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Red4
607715.2
60715.8
82868.7
Blue21
725010.7
52299.8
851717.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29360206080421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6077
#15
15.22.7
12.69.9
Auto4.6
Teleop7.4
End3.2
blue by 2.6
8517
#12
17.80.8
14.413.5
Auto6.2
Teleop6.5
End5.1
Second
8286
#25
8.70.9
4.55.4
Auto1.9
Teleop3.2
End3.6
blue by 2.0
7250
#31
10.71.4
9.17.8
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End1.9
Third
6071
#24
5.81.6
7.76.1
Auto2.8
Teleop2.1
End0.9
blue by 4.1
5229
#38
9.81.4
9.88.5
Auto2.7
Teleop4.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsMissed