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Red76
370725.8
571223.6
261917.1
Blue85
150227.5
436229.9
86224.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67842040601001201407685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3707
#15
25.80.2
25.425.5
Auto6.5
Teleop13.2
End6.2
blue by 4.0
29.90.2
28.128.3
Auto10.7
Teleop7.7
End11.5
Second
23.60.2
23.223.3
Auto4.4
Teleop9.0
End10.2
blue by 3.9
27.50.2
25.826.0
Auto9.1
Teleop10.8
End7.5
Third
2619
#27
17.10.2
16.716.8
Auto5.9
Teleop4.7
End6.5
blue by 7.2
862
#17
24.40.2
22.622.8
Auto6.2
Teleop9.8
End8.4