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Red105
171828.8
6739.1
83016.7
Blue114
150227.5
436229.9
86224.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions898260100120140105114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
39.10.5
38.639.1
Auto10.7
Teleop15.6
End12.8
red by 9.2
29.90.7
28.729.4
Auto10.7
Teleop7.7
End11.5
Second
28.80.5
28.328.8
Auto6.7
Teleop12.8
End9.3
red by 1.3
27.50.7
26.427.1
Auto9.1
Teleop10.8
End7.5
Third
830
#26
16.70.5
16.216.7
Auto3.3
Teleop11.9
End1.4
blue by 7.7
862
#17
24.40.7
23.223.9
Auto6.2
Teleop9.8
End8.4