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Red82
171828.8
6739.1
83016.7
Blue70
150227.5
436229.9
86224.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8983601001201408270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
39.10.0
38.638.6
Auto10.7
Teleop15.6
End12.8
red by 9.2
29.90.2
28.928.7
Auto10.7
Teleop7.7
End11.5
Second
28.80.0
28.328.3
Auto6.7
Teleop12.8
End9.3
red by 1.3
27.50.2
26.626.4
Auto9.1
Teleop10.8
End7.5
Third
830
#26
16.70.0
16.216.2
Auto3.3
Teleop11.9
End1.4
blue by 7.7
862
#17
24.40.2
23.423.2
Auto6.2
Teleop9.8
End8.4