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Red65
436229.9
759813.4
148122.5
Blue35
755320.5
526310.0
722519.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463802060801006535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.92.5
14.116.6
Auto10.7
Teleop7.7
End11.5
red by 9.3
7553
#11
20.50.2
17.116.9
Auto5.2
Teleop6.8
End8.5
Second
1481
#12
22.52.5
14.917.4
Auto6.2
Teleop10.5
End5.8
red by 3.5
7225
#20
19.00.2
11.711.6
Auto4.9
Teleop10.6
End3.5
Third
7598
#23
13.42.5
13.516.0
Auto3.8
Teleop4.2
End5.4
red by 3.5
5263
#31
10.00.2
7.67.5
Auto1.8
Teleop5.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsEarned20%Hangar oddsMissed