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Red52
283425.3
309811.8
50330.5
Blue46
83016.7
766022.5
556122.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49432060801005246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#4
30.50.8
19.720.5
Auto9.0
Teleop13.5
End8.0
red by 8.0
7660
#19
22.50.5
15.516.0
Auto8.5
Teleop13.5
End0.5
Second
2834
#10
25.30.8
13.514.2
Auto7.3
Teleop11.1
End6.8
red by 2.9
5561
#14
22.40.3
16.216.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End11.3
Third
3098
#34
11.80.8
11.912.7
Auto3.3
Teleop6.6
End1.9
blue by 4.9
830
#26
16.70.5
9.710.2
Auto3.3
Teleop11.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsMissed58%Hangar oddsMissed