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Red45
440516.8
657017.2
86224.4
Blue42
57323.1
590718.8
83614.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513602060801004542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#17
24.40.5
18.818.2
Auto6.2
Teleop9.8
End8.4
red by 1.3
573
#7
23.10.7
14.515.1
Auto5.5
Teleop9.8
End7.8
Second
6570
#16
17.20.5
10.49.8
Auto4.0
Teleop2.7
End10.4
blue by 1.6
5907
#18
18.80.7
13.414.1
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End3.2
Third
4405
#22
16.80.5
16.716.2
Auto6.1
Teleop7.5
End3.1
red by 12.1
8361
#35
4.60.7
8.18.8
Auto1.9
Teleop2.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsMissed35%Hangar oddsEarned