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Red46
370725.8
45312.8
717812.0
Blue20
214514.3
817912.8
83628.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45330204060804620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3707
#15
25.80.6
21.522.1
Auto6.5
Teleop13.2
End6.2
red by 11.5
2145
#21
14.31.1
11.810.7
Auto3.6
Teleop1.0
End9.7
Second
453
#24
12.80.6
9.610.2
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End6.1
Level
8179
#25
12.81.8
11.910.1
Auto3.7
Teleop3.3
End5.7
Third
7178
#29
12.00.6
9.610.2
Auto2.8
Teleop4.8
End4.4
red by 3.5
8362
#33
8.51.8
8.46.6
Auto2.8
Teleop3.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsMissed61%Hangar oddsMissed