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Red16
309811.8
24014.3
759813.4
Blue64
436229.9
571223.6
45312.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365102060801664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
240
#30
14.32.2
12.410.2
Auto4.9
Teleop4.7
End4.7
blue by 15.6
29.91.6
18.720.3
Auto10.7
Teleop7.7
End11.5
Second
7598
#23
13.42.2
13.110.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.2
End5.4
blue by 10.2
23.61.6
18.119.7
Auto4.4
Teleop9.0
End10.2
Third
3098
#34
11.82.2
10.28.0
Auto3.3
Teleop6.6
End1.9
blue by 1.0
453
#24
12.81.6
8.910.5
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsMissed42%Hangar oddsEarned