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Red35
85198.8
261917.1
440516.8
Blue48
30817.9
766022.5
817912.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34460204060803548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2619
#27
17.10.2
13.113.3
Auto5.9
Teleop4.7
End6.5
blue by 5.4
7660
#19
22.50.7
16.717.4
Auto8.5
Teleop13.5
End0.5
Second
4405
#22
16.80.2
15.315.5
Auto6.1
Teleop7.5
End3.1
blue by 1.1
308
#13
17.90.7
14.415.1
Auto5.6
Teleop6.3
End6.0
Third
8519
#28
8.80.2
5.05.1
Auto5.1
Teleop3.2
End0.6
blue by 4.0
8179
#25
12.80.7
10.611.3
Auto3.7
Teleop3.3
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed35%Hangar oddsMissed