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Red60
755320.5
83614.6
283425.3
Blue51
86224.4
171828.8
83628.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43442030405060706051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#10
25.32.2
15.818.0
Auto7.3
Teleop11.1
End6.8
blue by 3.5
28.81.1
13.814.8
Auto6.7
Teleop12.8
End9.3
Second
7553
#11
20.52.2
16.718.8
Auto5.2
Teleop6.8
End8.5
blue by 3.8
862
#17
24.41.1
20.221.3
Auto6.2
Teleop9.8
End8.4
Third
8361
#35
4.62.2
8.110.3
Auto1.9
Teleop2.4
End0.3
blue by 3.8
8362
#33
8.51.1
7.58.6
Auto2.8
Teleop3.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsEarned44%Hangar oddsMissed